We'll be updating all of our Oscar predictions throughout the season, so stay tuned to IndieWire for the latest news on the 2023 Oscar race. The Oscars will be announced on January 24, 2023. The final voting will be held from March 2. 7, 2023. Finally, the 95th Academy Awards will air . Sunday, March 12 and will air live on ABC at 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT.
Check out our first thoughts on the 95th Academy Awards here.
Race status
Avatar: The Last Airbender, Quiet on the Western Front, Batman, Black Panther: Always Wakanda and Best Picture: Maverick were nominated for Best Visual Effects at the Oscars on Tuesday. After a record 14 nominations from the Visual Effects Society (the 21st Annual VES Awards will be held at the Beverly Hilton on February 15), the groundbreaking Avatar is set to win an Oscar. But Silent Entry on the Western Front adds a nice twist to a field of records where Top Gun has also been undone, with excellent supporting work on a World War I battlefield. after an unusually long covert campaign.
Notable contestants were "Jurassic World: Dominion," with its array of innovative CGs and animatronic dinosaurs, and "Non," which showcased whimsical origami and fish-like jeans, creative and complex cloud shapes, and enhanced CG. Hoyt van Hoytema's ingenious day-night cinematography with Panavision 65mm and infrared cameras.
There's a reason why Avatar is a banned favorite. Directed by Wētā FX and four-time Oscar-winning senior visual effects supervisor Joe Letteri, the ocean-themed sequel features underwater photography taken to new heights of photorealism, a rebuilt world-class simulation facility (including a fire and water system named Loki). and a revolutionary muscle-based facial animation system called APFS (Anatomically Plausible Facial System).
Interestingly, Wētā also focuses on water in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (under special effects director Chris White). The highlight was bringing the culture of Tolokan Underwater Village to life through a vast CG environment with living population, gardens, market, temple, sports complex and water transportation links. Director Ryan Coogler wanted realistic water that was very dark, so Wetā took special care to make the underwater scenes as realistic as the ones above. The entire VFX team was led by Marvel Studios production manager Jeffrey Bauman.
Batman also featured Wētā (producer Dan Lehmann), who used his skills as a virtual producer to complete a rainy highway chase between the Penguin (Colin Farrell) and the Batmobile. Using virtual cinematography in compositing, they worked on timing, composition and CG beats, recreating cinematographer Greg Fraser's in-camera lighting effects (as well as digitally rendering the silicone balls he added to the filters). In addition, ILM (directed by visual effects supervisor Russell Earle) installed a custom StageCraft pop-up LED volume to add unfinished skylines to the Gothic-inspired Gotham.
Joseph Kasinka's Maverick had some of the best supporting visual effects of the season, as well as incredible camera flight sequences (shot with Sony's innovative Rialto camera extension system, directed by cinematographer Claudio Miranda). The work was primarily handled by Method - now part of Framestore - and production was led by Ryan Tadhope, which involved 2,400 shots with multiple compositing (including ranges), mattes, ambient changes and skies, scaling and plate cleanup, and full CG . after takeoff and during dogfights, especially during CG shots and explosions.
Edward Berger's anti-war epic All Quiet on the Western Front (enhanced by VES) is an immersive POV film based on long drives that take you through the battlefields and trenches of the World War I world. Visual effects production supervisor Frank Petzold took a naturalistic approach, trying to use as many photographic elements as possible for the composition, guided by the cinematography of Oscar-nominated James Friend. The CG modeling was kept to scale and the explosions were handled by the SFX team and shot at the original airport with Red Camera, then compressed to perfection. Smoke and tanks were adopted as characters. The first had different features for each color (there was a mysterious yellow with mustard gas), the tanks looked like giant war creatures and were manipulated in CG animation.
Here are the candidates ranked by the probability of winning:
Avatar: The Last Airbender (20th Century/Disney)
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount)
Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
"Batman" (Warner Bros.)
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Disney/Marvel)
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